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When good rivers turn bad: Extreme flooding
Case study - The Johnstone River, Far North Queensland

Johnstone River

Probable Maximum Flood (PMF)

Estimated probable maximum precipitation

Table 1: Extimated Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP)

Storm Duration (hrs) Total Rainfall Depth (mm)
Combined Johnstone River Catchment
12 780
24 1110
48 1650

Estimate peak probable maximum flows

Table 2: Estimated Peak Probable Maximum Flows (PMF)

Design Flood Peak Design Flow (m3/s)
North Johnstone River (McAvoy Bridge: Catchment Area = 971 km2 South Johnstone River (Central Mill: Catchment Area = 480km2
PMF 13,950 5,740
100 6,140 3,330
PMF/Q100 Ratio 2.3 1.7

The peak discharge was within the bounds of rule of thumb calculations for the PMF. For example, the PMF peak discharge is typical 1.5 to 3 times that of the 100 year ARI discharge. The peak PMF discharge in the North Johnstone River at McAvoy Bridge of approximately 14,000 m3/s is about 2.3 times the 100 year ARI discharge at the same location. Another rule of thumb is that for a catchment of about 1000 km2 (North Johnstone River at McAvoy Bridge), the ratio of the peak PMF discharge to the catchment area is typically withing 3 to 25. This gives a PMF discharge range of 3,000 m3/s to 25,000 m3/s.

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1. Origins of extreme weather | 2. Finding hidden treasure | 3. Streams and mass wasting
4. The Johnstone River, FNQ


The resources contained in this unit are courtesy of Earth Science Australia http://earthsci.org/